The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jeffers, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats R · 384 PA
Ranked comps for Jeffers, Ryan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.78 | Swing lengthBat speedPull rate | Sprint speed +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 649 PA | 0.77 | Swing lengthBat speedBarrel rate | Pull rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.9zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA | 0.73 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zBarrel rate -1.0zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.73 | xwOBA on contactWalk rateMax exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +0.9zWhiff rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 437 PA | 0.71 | Isolated powerChase rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.0zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.71 | Barrel rateWalk rateWhiff rate | Max exit velocity -1.2zPull rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA | 0.70 | Strikeout ratePull rateHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate +1.0zOppo rate -1.0zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA | 0.68 | In-zone contactHard-hit rateOppo rate | Ground-ball rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 681 PA | 0.68 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate | Swing length +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.2zWhiff rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 479 PA | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactBat speedPull rate | Sprint speed +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Moreno, Gabriel AZ · R · 559 PA | 0.66 | Sprint speedWalk rateIn-zone contact | Oppo rate +2.0zMax exit velocity -0.9zPull rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Oppo rate -1.6zChase rate -1.3zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.