The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Contreras, William in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats R · 649 PA

Ranked comps for Contreras, William

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA 0.77 Swing lengthBat speedBarrel rate Pull rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9zWalk rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.76 Walk rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.1zOppo rate -0.8zBarrel rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 717 PA 0.71 Chase rateIn-zone contactBat speed Ground-ball rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 642 PA 0.70 Sprint speedIsolated powerGround-ball rate Swing length +1.6zPull rate +1.5zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Machado, Manny SD · R · 681 PA 0.70 Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Swing length +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 354 PA 0.70 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Oppo rate +1.5zBarrel rate -1.3zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 645 PA 0.68 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Max exit velocity -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactSprint speedMax exit velocity Strikeout rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.3zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 367 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate Strikeout rate +1.4zChase rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.66 Swing lengthSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Avg exit velocity -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.66 Whiff rateBat speedOppo rate Pull rate +1.3zSwing length +1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA 0.66 Walk ratexwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.0zBarrel rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.