The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Grisham, Trent in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 503 PA

Ranked comps for Grisham, Trent

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.69 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate Isolated power +1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.1zChase rate +1.0z
02 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 637 PA 0.68 Bat speedGround-ball rateSwing length Oppo rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.1z
03 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.67 Walk rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z
04 Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 708 PA 0.66 Ground-ball ratePull rateBat speed Max exit velocity -1.2zHard-hit rate -0.9zAvg exit velocity -0.9z
05 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 629 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Isolated power -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2zPull rate -1.1z
06 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 486 PA 0.66 Bat speedSwing lengthBarrel rate Chase rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.0zGround-ball rate -0.9z
07 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA 0.65 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Oppo rate +1.6zChase rate +1.3zPull rate -0.9z
08 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA 0.65 Bat speedIsolated powerSprint speed Pull rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.3zChase rate +1.2z
09 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 554 PA 0.63 Bat speedSwing lengthFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.5zBarrel rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z
10 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 411 PA 0.63 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactBat speed Max exit velocity -1.7zChase rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.0z
11 Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 578 PA 0.63 Pull rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.9zSwing length +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.0z
12 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.63 Max exit velocitySprint speedStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.