Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Mead, Curtis
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
69
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.288 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.365 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.326 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.294
0.309
0.326
0.343
0.359
wOBA
0.333
0.353
0.375
0.398
0.418
ISO
0.136
0.153
0.171
0.190
0.207
K%
16.7%
18.2%
19.9%
21.6%
23.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.4%
78
+51 vs proj
Exit velocity88.5
51
Hard-hit%43.9%
69
+41 vs proj
xBA0.329
57
xSLG0.584
71
xwOBA0.365
88
+52 vs proj
BB%12.0%
81
+61 vs proj
Bat speed70.8
68
K%17.1%
78
+28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 1B
41
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · 1B
3
Range Runs-3.6 · 1B
12
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.8 · 1B
5
Sprint Speed26.9 · 1B
38
SB Success Rate33.3% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.5% · rebadged research
81
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5% · rebadged research
29
Correct Decisions67.1% · rebadged research
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
58
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
0
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.294 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.355 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
82
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.071 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.081 |
| Sample | 217 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 356 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.250 to 0.348 | +/- 0.049 |
| ISO | 0.108 | 0.060 to 0.181 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 1.2% to 5.9% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.5% | 28.7% to 42.5% | +/- 6.9% |
| K% | 22.0% | 18.0% to 28.9% | +/- 5.4% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 4.4% to 8.9% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.246 to 0.340 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
223 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.203 |
| K% | 13.3% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |
vs RHP
324 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.183 |
| K% | 15.9% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |