Mithrandir Metrics
Player AZ Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / AZ

Gabriel Moreno

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 195 lb · Age 26

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club AZ Position -- Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024351398153.266.353.380.733
2025309447992.285.353.433.786
2026279357364.304.387.442.829
5 Seasons13921613522815.286.356.412.768
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
70
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
72
Defense4 metrics
82
Speed2 metrics
29
Plate skills10 metrics
40
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.331
xwOBA current pace0.365
xwOBA rolling p500.350
Observed weight57%
xwOBA
0.326 0.337 0.350 0.363 0.374
wOBA
0.364 0.382 0.401 0.421 0.438
ISO
0.135 0.150 0.166 0.182 0.196
K%
14.1% 15.5% 17.0% 18.5% 19.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
57
Exit velocity89.5
67
Hard-hit%43.3%
67
xBA0.350
78
xSLG0.536
59
xwOBA0.365
91 +18 vs proj
BB%12.2%
86 +26 vs proj
Bat speed70.0
54
K%15.6%
85 +16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.1 · C
92
Catcher Throwing1.3 · C
80
Framing Runs2.7 · C
80
Pop Time1.9 · C
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · C
37
Sprint Speed26.1 · C
20
SB Success Rate75.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
46
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.2% · rebadged research
23
Correct Decisions61.4% · rebadged research
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
49
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
21
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
78
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
38
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.387 · validated
8
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Moreno, Gabriel · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.365 2026-07-07: 0.3652026-07-08: 0.3652026-07-09: 0.3662026-07-10: 0.3662026-07-11: 0.3622026-07-12: 0.3622026-07-13: 0.3642026-07-14: 0.3652026-07-15: 0.3652026-07-16: 0.3652026-07-17: 0.3652026-07-18: 0.365 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

116 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Moreno, Gabriel · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 21% of plotted batted ballsOppo 21% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-22 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 22.02026-03-22 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 108.0 / LA 30.02026-03-22 · field out · KN · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -20.02026-03-22 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.1 / LA 26.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.2 / LA 0.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.8 / LA 36.02026-03-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 56.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 53.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · popup · EV 56.2 / LA 43.02026-03-27 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 90.9 / LA 14.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · popup · EV 86.1 / LA 65.02026-03-27 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 16.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 38.02026-03-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.2 / LA 10.02026-03-30 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 5.02026-03-30 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA -21.02026-03-31 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 77.7 / LA -29.02026-03-31 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 33.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 82.7 / LA 12.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 59.9 / LA 52.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA -23.02026-04-02 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 36.3 / LA 24.02026-04-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 44.02026-04-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 36.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.6 / LA 54.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 62.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 29.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -10.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 110.2 / LA 10.02026-04-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 4.02026-04-07 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 16.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.2 / LA 7.02026-04-07 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 85.5 / LA 12.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 50.02026-04-08 · sac fly · SL · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 16.02026-04-09 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 28.02026-04-09 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 26.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA -3.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 25.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA -8.02026-05-03 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 27.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 52.0 / LA 18.02026-05-03 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 40.02026-05-05 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 10.02026-05-05 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 13.02026-05-05 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -16.02026-05-05 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -18.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.1 / LA 22.02026-05-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -3.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -46.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 8.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 25.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 9.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 53.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA -4.02026-05-12 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 35.02026-05-12 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 9.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 42.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 26.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA -22.02026-05-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA -10.02026-05-13 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.3 / LA 12.02026-05-15 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 20.02026-05-15 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 72.1 / LA 53.02026-05-15 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA 6.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 70.1 / LA 12.02026-05-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -63.02026-05-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 12.02026-05-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -1.02026-05-18 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -2.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -8.02026-05-18 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 26.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 34.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · popup · EV 90.8 / LA 67.02026-05-19 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.6 / LA -8.02026-05-19 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA -27.02026-05-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 32.02026-05-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 9.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -48.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · popup · EV 85.2 / LA 71.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 27.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.1 / LA -34.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 5.02026-05-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 61.4 / LA -47.02026-05-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 11.02026-05-25 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 26.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 41.02026-05-26 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 25.02026-05-26 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 66.0 / LA 16.02026-05-26 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 17.02026-05-31 · single · FF · popup · EV 67.7 / LA 31.02026-06-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 42.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 4.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.4 / LA 17.02026-06-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 108.2 / LA 4.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 17.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 14.02026-06-07 · home run · CH · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 24.02026-06-07 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 0.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -2.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -3.02026-06-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -20.02026-06-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 4.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -21.02026-06-24 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 96.5 / LA 18.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · popup · EV 82.1 / LA 56.02026-06-24 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 14.02026-06-26 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -12.02026-06-26 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 64.2 / LA 37.02026-06-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 11.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · popup · EV 68.4 / LA 56.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -66.02026-06-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 10.02026-06-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 2.02026-07-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 75.4 / LA 27.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.7 / LA -65.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Moreno, Gabriel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 15%15%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 85%85%Hard hit: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.032
wOBA Δ+0.069

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.401
xwOBA (deserved)0.365

Moreno’s wOBA sits at 0.401, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.365 — a gap of 0.037, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 288 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

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Jung, Josh TEX · R 0.64 In-zone contactPull rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-03-22Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-04-09 @ NYM0 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-2 | 2 2B, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-08 @ NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 3 K, RBI
2026-04-07 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E2-3 | 2B, BB, HBP
2026-04-05 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-04 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E2-3 | R