Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 195 lb · Age 26
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 351 | 39 | 81 | 5 | 3 | .266 | .353 | .380 | .733 |
| 2025 | 309 | 44 | 79 | 9 | 2 | .285 | .353 | .433 | .786 |
| 2026 | 279 | 35 | 73 | 6 | 4 | .304 | .387 | .442 | .829 |
| 5 Seasons | 1392 | 161 | 352 | 28 | 15 | .286 | .356 | .412 | .768 |
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.331 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.365 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.350 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
100th = best in MLB.
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
116 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
| xwOBA Δ | +0.032 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.069 |
negative regression
Moreno’s wOBA sits at 0.401, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.365 — a gap of 0.037, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 288 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cortes, Carlos ATH · L | 0.66 | Max exit velocityBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.65 | Walk ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Kelly, Carson CHC · R | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Jung, Josh TEX · R | 0.64 | In-zone contactPull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-22 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-09 @ NYM0 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-2 | 2 2B, 2 RBI, R |
| 2026-04-08 @ NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-07 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2B, BB, HBP |
| 2026-04-05 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-04 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | R |