The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rutschman, Adley in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 422 PA
Ranked comps for Rutschman, Adley
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA | 0.73 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zBarrel rate +1.0zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 488 PA | 0.72 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Whiff rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.2zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA | 0.72 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 619 PA | 0.71 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.3zPull rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA | 0.70 | Bat speedIsolated powerIn-zone contact | Fly-ball rate -1.4zHard-hit rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedOppo rateIsolated power | Max exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 542 PA | 0.66 | Swing lengthPull ratexwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 486 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedxwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Ground-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 649 PA | 0.66 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.0zBarrel rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Loftin, Nick KC · R · 446 PA | 0.66 | Chase rateWalk rateGround-ball rate | Hard-hit rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 637 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedBat speedStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 437 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate | Swing length +1.4zBat speed +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.