The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Sheets, Gavin in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats L · 341 PA

Ranked comps for Sheets, Gavin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA 0.77 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateIsolated power Fly-ball rate +1.1zChase rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA 0.73 Bat speedIsolated powerOppo rate Whiff rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA 0.73 Pull rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Oppo rate -1.3zChase rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 431 PA 0.72 Bat speedOppo rateWhiff rate Isolated power -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.1zChase rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Machado, Manny SD · R · 401 PA 0.70 Walk ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate In-zone contact -1.6zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA 0.68 Ground-ball rateChase ratexwOBA on contact Sprint speed +1.3zOppo rate -1.2zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA 0.68 Walk rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.3zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 432 PA 0.65 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Pull rate -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 328 PA 0.64 Whiff rateSwing lengthStrikeout rate Isolated power -1.3zOppo rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA 0.64 Pull rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate In-zone contact -1.5zWalk rate -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateBarrel rateHard-hit rate Swing length -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.61 Oppo rateChase rateSprint speed Fly-ball rate +1.6zSwing length -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.