The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tovar, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats R · 523 PA

Ranked comps for Tovar, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 357 PA 0.70 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity In-zone contact -1.9zChase rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA 0.65 Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 596 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Oppo rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 717 PA 0.59 Bat speedWhiff rateIsolated power Chase rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 676 PA 0.59 Oppo rateBat speedSwing length Strikeout rate -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 608 PA 0.58 Bat speedSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 376 PA 0.57 Swing lengthGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Pull rate +1.9zOppo rate -1.4zChase rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.57 Sprint speedBarrel rateIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.8zMax exit velocity +1.6zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 583 PA 0.55 Sprint speedWalk rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.9zChase rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 449 PA 0.55 Pull rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate Chase rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA 0.54 Bat speedSweet-spot ratePull rate Chase rate -2.0zSprint speed -2.0zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 515 PA 0.53 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Chase rate -2.9zSwing length -1.4zWalk rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.