The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Aranda, Jonathan in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 425 PA

Ranked comps for Aranda, Jonathan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 429 PA 0.81 Hard-hit rateChase rateWhiff rate Strikeout rate -0.9zGround-ball rate +0.9zSwing length -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 442 PA 0.74 Strikeout rateBarrel rateSprint speed Avg exit velocity -1.1zxwOBA on contact -0.9zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateWhiff rateHard-hit rate Walk rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.1zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 278 PA 0.67 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zChase rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 415 PA 0.66 Oppo rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Sprint speed +1.9zBat speed +1.3zBarrel rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.65 Isolated powerWalk rateBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA 0.64 Isolated powerSwing lengthBat speed In-zone contact +1.4zOppo rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.62 Walk rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate Bat speed +1.9zWhiff rate +1.2zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA 0.62 Oppo ratePull rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed +2.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.62 Chase rateWalk rateBarrel rate Whiff rate +1.4zPull rate +1.1zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate Sprint speed +1.7zPull rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 439 PA 0.59 Max exit velocityChase ratePull rate Ground-ball rate +1.7zSwing length +1.3zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.