Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Busch, Michael
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.346 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.345 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.345 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Michael Busch's tools (67) outpace production (79) by -12 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.
Field-coordinate spray profile
187 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.010 |
| Sample | 442 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 574 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 27 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.353 | 0.315 to 0.379 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.209 | 0.169 to 0.296 | +/- 0.063 |
| Barrel% | 8.3% | 5.8% to 10.6% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.5% | 38.1% to 51.6% | +/- 6.8% |
| K% | 24.9% | 20.0% to 29.8% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 10.7% | 7.7% to 13.8% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.245 to 0.343 | +/- 0.049 |
238 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.247 |
| K% | 21.2% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 4.3% |
1083 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.297 |
| K% | 21.2% |
| BB% | 8.7% |
| Barrel | 7.9% |