The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Busch, Michael in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats L · 726 PA
Ranked comps for Busch, Michael
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 637 PA | 0.77 | Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateIsolated power | Strikeout rate -1.1zBat speed +0.9zMax exit velocity -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 679 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.0zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed | Bat speed +1.5zSwing length +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 479 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactPull rateChase rate | Sprint speed +1.7zBat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 488 PA | 0.65 | Chase rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactPull rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.1zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.64 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate | Bat speed +1.6zSprint speed +1.4zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Norby, Connor MIA · R · 387 PA | 0.63 | xwOBA on contactOppo rateSwing length | Sprint speed +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.5zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 521 PA | 0.63 | Swing lengthGround-ball rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 675 PA | 0.62 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateIsolated power | Fly-ball rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.5zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 510 PA | 0.62 | Barrel rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.0zWalk rate -1.2zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA | 0.59 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Oppo rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.