The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Busch, Michael in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats L · 442 PA
Ranked comps for Busch, Michael
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 425 PA | 0.74 | Strikeout rateBarrel rateSprint speed | Avg exit velocity +1.1zxwOBA on contact +0.9zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 429 PA | 0.67 | In-zone contactPull rateOppo rate | Bat speed +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Max exit velocity -1.1zPull rate +1.1zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA | 0.64 | Oppo ratePull rateWhiff rate | Fly-ball rate -2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.3zSprint speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocitySwing length | Sprint speed +2.1zBat speed +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 327 PA | 0.58 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rateStrikeout rate | Bat speed +1.6zSprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 321 PA | 0.57 | xwOBA on contactWalk rateSweet-spot rate | Oppo rate -1.4zChase rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA | 0.57 | Hard-hit rateOppo rateSprint speed | Fly-ball rate -2.1zWalk rate -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA | 0.56 | Strikeout ratePull rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Ward, Taylor BAL · R · 446 PA | 0.56 | xwOBA on contactBat speedSwing length | Chase rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA | 0.56 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateChase rate | Bat speed +1.7zSprint speed +1.5zWalk rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 267 PA | 0.56 | Oppo rateSwing lengthSprint speed | Fly-ball rate -2.0zBat speed +1.3zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.