The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Eldridge, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.
SF · bats L · 225 PA
Ranked comps for Eldridge, Bryce
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.82 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.1zWhiff rate +0.8zIn-zone contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA | 0.81 | Strikeout rateChase ratexwOBA on contact | In-zone contact -0.8zPull rate -0.8zSprint speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA | 0.70 | Max exit velocityBarrel ratePull rate | Chase rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | In-zone contact -1.3zWhiff rate +1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 435 PA | 0.68 | Chase rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Isolated power +1.5zWalk rate -1.3zBarrel rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA | 0.67 | Max exit velocityBat speedSwing length | xwOBA on contact -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Walk rate -1.9zStrikeout rate +1.0zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA | 0.66 | Strikeout rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Isolated power +1.6zOppo rate +1.1zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 339 PA | 0.64 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactSprint speed | Pull rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA | 0.64 | Ground-ball rateMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Pull rate +1.6zSwing length -1.1zHard-hit rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 244 PA | 0.63 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.7zOppo rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA | 0.62 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact -2.1zWalk rate -1.4zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.