The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baty, Brett in signal, the comp in amber.
NYM · bats L · 486 PA
Ranked comps for Baty, Brett
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 645 PA | 0.80 | xwOBA on contactSwing lengthOppo rate | Strikeout rate +0.9zSprint speed +0.8zSweet-spot rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA | 0.77 | Whiff rateChase rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zPull rate +1.0zWalk rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.73 | Bat speedChase rateHard-hit rate | Isolated power +1.3zOppo rate +0.9zWalk rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 508 PA | 0.73 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 449 PA | 0.71 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +1.9zOppo rate -1.0zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 636 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateBat speedWalk rate | Hard-hit rate +1.0zIsolated power +1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 646 PA | 0.69 | Max exit velocityChase rateHard-hit rate | Whiff rate -1.1zSwing length +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA | 0.68 | In-zone contactBarrel ratePull rate | Oppo rate -1.3zSwing length -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.68 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.2zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 717 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Swing length -1.2zWalk rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA | 0.68 | Whiff rateOppo rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zIsolated power +1.4zxwOBA on contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 432 PA | 0.67 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.