The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burger, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats R · 390 PA
Ranked comps for Burger, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 399 PA | 0.78 | xwOBA on contactWalk rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.4zHard-hit rate -0.9zIsolated power -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 244 PA | 0.78 | In-zone contactPull rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.3zBarrel rate +1.1zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.76 | Walk rateSwing lengthBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.1zChase rate -1.0zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA | 0.74 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate | Ground-ball rate -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA | 0.74 | Walk rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.1zChase rate -1.0zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Vientos, Mark NYM · R · 269 PA | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityChase rate | Sprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate -1.6zSwing length +1.4zHard-hit rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA | 0.69 | Walk rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Whiff rate -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.3zSprint speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA | 0.67 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactOppo rate | Swing length -1.5zWhiff rate -1.3zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 392 PA | 0.67 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Pull rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.2zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA | 0.65 | Walk rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 317 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.2zBarrel rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.