Mithrandir Metrics
DET American League Central Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Detroit Tigers

84.5-77.5 with P10-P90 wins 75-94. 80.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
84.5-77.5
Live pace
74.2
Delta
-10.2
Record 44-52 Run diff 24 Generated 2026-07-17T11:44:53.145921+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace74.2
Rolling p5078.4
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
68.8 73.4 78.4 83.4 87.9
MOVE -6.6 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.36
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs58.9%
Pennant9.0%
World Series3.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.266
Rotation FIP3.99
Bullpen FIP4.36
Run diff24.5
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDingler, Dillon4712.36
1BTorkelson, Spencer5974.31
2BTorres, Gleyber6205.25
SSSweeney, Trey388-0.95
3BKeith, Colt5153.53
LFGreene, Riley6228.28
CFMeadows, Parker358-0.18
RFCarpenter, Kerry4995.50
DHMcKinstry, Zach519-0.03