Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / DET · 2026

Finnegan, Kyle

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
21.1% K%
Range
15.9% to 29.7%
Live Δ
yes
Team DET Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 35 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.22
ERA current pace1.75
ERA rolling p503.40
Observed weight33%
ERA
1.77 2.55 3.40 4.26 5.04
FIP
3.41 3.87 4.37 4.88 5.34
K%
14.7% 17.0% 19.5% 22.1% 24.4%
BB%
8.1% 9.4% 10.8% 12.3% 13.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%16.1%
3 -54 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.2%
70 +29 vs proj
Fastball velo96.3
79
Hard-hit allowed40.0%
46
K%15.3%
9 -31 vs proj
Whiff%21.3%
34
xwOBA allowed0.334
33
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+102
49
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 55%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Finnegan, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3122026-05-19: 0.3122026-05-21: 0.3122026-05-23: 0.3202026-05-24: 0.3202026-05-25: 0.3322026-05-26: 0.3322026-05-28: 0.3312026-05-29: 0.3302026-05-30: 0.3302026-05-31: 0.3342026-06-01: 0.334 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Finnegan, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Finnegan, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 54.9%Split-Finger: 33.9%Slider: 11.2% MIX FF 55%FS 34%SL 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Finnegan, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.0, IVB 0.9FFFS: HB -0.2, IVB 2.5FSSL: HB -0.2, IVB 3.0SL horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 84.1% 232 101 qualified
SL 15.9% 44 96 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 56%, Split-Finger 40%, Slider 4%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-2.04
K% Δ-0.058
Sample27.3 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings41.0----
Batters Faced172----
K%21.1%15.9% to 29.7%+/- 6.9%
BB%8.4%5.4% to 12.5%+/- 3.5%
Whiff%21.1%17.5% to 27.3%+/- 4.9%
HR/91.210.71 to 2.13+/- 0.71
xwOBA Against0.3170.253 to 0.375+/- 0.061
Barrel% Allowed8.3%5.2% to 12.9%+/- 3.8%
ERA3.792.31 to 6.68+/- 2.18
FIP3.952.98 to 5.57+/- 1.29
WHIP1.2691.010 to 1.713+/- 0.352
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

717 career BF

xwOBA0.304
K%20.0%
BB%9.4%
Barrel9.0%
vs RHH

849 career BF

xwOBA0.295
K%19.6%
BB%6.8%
Barrel8.8%