Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / DET · 2026

Finnegan, Kyle

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
21.1% K%
Range
15.9% to 29.7%
Live Δ
yes
Team DET Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 35 Status IL-15
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
19
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
30
Arsenal3 metrics
30
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.22
ERA current pace4.30
ERA rolling p504.26
Observed weight53%
ERA
2.71 3.45 4.26 5.08 5.81
FIP
3.88 4.31 4.78 5.26 5.69
K%
16.1% 17.8% 19.7% 21.6% 23.3%
BB%
8.3% 9.3% 10.4% 11.5% 12.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.66
9
ERA4.30
43
BB%12.3%
16 -41 vs proj
K%18.1%
21 -22 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.362
8 -37 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.5%
19 -17 vs proj
Fastball velo96.2
77
Hard-hit allowed44.4%
13
Whiff%24.4%
62 +25 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+101
38
Mithrandir Stuff+101
34
Slider Stuff+97
17
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 52%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Finnegan, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.362 2026-09-13: 0.3512026-09-14: 0.3512026-09-18: 0.3622026-09-19: 0.3622026-09-20: 0.3622026-09-21: 0.3622026-09-22: 0.3622026-09-23: 0.3622026-09-24: 0.3622026-09-25: 0.3622026-09-26: 0.3622026-09-27: 0.362 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Finnegan, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Finnegan, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 51.6%Split-Finger: 31.7%Slider: 16.8% FF52% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 52%FS 32%SL 17% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Finnegan, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 52% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 96.2 mphFF96 mphSplit-Finger: 32% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 87.2 mphFS87 mphSlider: 17% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 85.5 mphSL86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 79.6% 379 101 qualified
SL 20.4% 97 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 56%, Split-Finger 40%, Slider 4%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.52
K% Δ-0.030
Sample60.7 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings40.0----
Batters Faced168----
K%21.1%15.9% to 29.7%+/- 6.9%
BB%8.4%5.4% to 12.5%+/- 3.5%
Whiff%21.1%17.5% to 27.3%+/- 4.9%
HR/91.180.71 to 2.13+/- 0.71
xwOBA Against0.3170.253 to 0.375+/- 0.061
Barrel% Allowed8.3%5.2% to 12.9%+/- 3.8%
ERA3.782.31 to 6.68+/- 2.18
FIP3.952.98 to 5.52+/- 1.27
WHIP1.2691.009 to 1.713+/- 0.352
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

717 career BF

xwOBA0.304
K%20.0%
BB%9.4%
Barrel9.0%
vs RHH

849 career BF

xwOBA0.295
K%19.6%
BB%6.8%
Barrel8.8%