Sommers, Drew
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.94 |
| ERA current pace | 5.40 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.18 |
| Observed weight | 17% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 47.7% | 21 | 95 | limited sample |
| SL | 25.0% | 11 | 87 | limited sample |
| FB | 18.2% | 8 | 109 | limited sample |
| CH | 9.1% | 4 | 85 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 31.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 155 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.7% | 3.6% to 28.2% | +/- 12.3% |
| BB% | 8.4% | 1.9% to 12.7% | +/- 5.4% |
| Whiff% | 23.7% | 6.5% to 30.7% | +/- 12.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.38 | 0.00 to 1.91 | +/- 0.96 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.311 | 0.089 to 0.362 | +/- 0.137 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.2% | 0.6% to 10.0% | +/- 4.7% |
| ERA | 4.08 | 1.97 to 6.66 | +/- 2.34 |
| FIP | 4.06 | 2.09 to 5.34 | +/- 1.62 |
| WHIP | 1.352 | 0.839 to 1.714 | +/- 0.437 |
10 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.090 |
| K% | 4.7% |
| BB% | 3.4% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
9 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.099 |
| K% | 4.3% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |