Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
Meadows, Parker
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team DET
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 27
Status IL-60
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.307 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.250 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.296 |
| Observed weight | 19% |
xwOBA
0.260
0.277
0.296
0.315
0.332
wOBA
0.375
0.417
0.463
0.509
0.551
ISO
0.108
0.137
0.168
0.200
0.228
K%
18.1%
20.9%
23.9%
27.0%
29.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.5%
35
Barrel%5.7%
59
+19 vs proj
Bat speed69.0
42
Exit velocity86.0
23
Hard-hit%30.6%
15
K%22.6%
46
+15 vs proj
xBA0.294
25
xSLG0.384
11
xwOBA0.250
8
-34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Arm Runs0.3 · CF
Limited
Range Runs0.7 · CF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.3 · CF
78
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.8% · rebadged research
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions69.9% · rebadged research
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
21
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
66
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
64
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
79
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
36 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.053 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.160 |
| Sample | 53 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 358 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 10 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.303 | 0.254 to 0.335 | +/- 0.041 |
| ISO | 0.160 | 0.111 to 0.257 | +/- 0.073 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 2.7% to 7.4% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.3% | 28.8% to 45.4% | +/- 8.3% |
| K% | 25.7% | 19.1% to 33.0% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 8.4% | 6.1% to 11.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.223 to 0.342 | +/- 0.059 |
vs LHP
157 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.201 |
| K% | 19.2% |
| BB% | 6.6% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |
vs RHP
604 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.222 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |