Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
Lee, Hao-Yu
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team DET
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.302 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.287 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.241
0.263
0.287
0.312
0.334
wOBA
0.298
0.313
0.330
0.347
0.362
ISO
0.090
0.109
0.130
0.151
0.170
K%
17.4%
20.2%
23.4%
26.5%
29.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
68
+35 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
65
Hard-hit%41.3%
65
+29 vs proj
xBA0.318
52
xSLG0.537
61
xwOBA0.302
50
BB%7.9%
42
Bat speed69.4
45
K%23.9%
44
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.2 · 2B
51
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 2B
8
Range Runs-9.4 · 2B
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.2 · 2B
15
Sprint Speed28.1 · 2B
68
SB Success Rate50.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions68.9% · rebadged research
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.317 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.253 · insufficient sample
97
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
91
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
99
Resists FastballwOBA 0.380 · validated
7
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
49
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
154 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.005 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.033 |
| Sample | 355 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 203 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.297 | 0.098 to 0.317 | +/- 0.110 |
| ISO | 0.126 | 0.017 to 0.211 | +/- 0.097 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 0.2% to 5.0% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.4% | 8.1% to 37.4% | +/- 14.7% |
| K% | 27.8% | 7.8% to 37.2% | +/- 14.7% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 0.9% to 10.5% | +/- 4.8% |
| BABIP | 0.295 | 0.142 to 0.371 | +/- 0.115 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
7 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |