Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.09 |
| ERA current pace | 4.09 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.09 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 33.6% | 290 | 105 | qualified |
| SI | 19.5% | 168 | 104 | limited sample |
| SL | 17.3% | 149 | 105 | limited sample |
| CH | 15.4% | 133 | 105 | limited sample |
| CB | 14.2% | 122 | 106 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.00 |
| K% Δ | -0.007 |
| Sample | 60.3 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 70.8 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 308 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.4% | 15.4% to 24.4% | +/- 4.5% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 5.3% to 9.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Whiff% | 19.0% | 16.9% to 23.3% | +/- 3.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.55 | 1.15 to 2.30 | +/- 0.58 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.338 | 0.282 to 0.353 | +/- 0.035 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.4% | 5.6% to 11.1% | +/- 2.7% |
| ERA | 5.08 | 3.22 to 6.12 | +/- 1.45 |
| FIP | 4.71 | 3.59 to 5.56 | +/- 0.99 |
| WHIP | 1.364 | 1.085 to 1.642 | +/- 0.278 |
| xwOBA | 0.312 |
| K% | 16.2% |
| BB% | 8.0% |
| Barrel | 8.2% |
| xwOBA | 0.281 |
| K% | 19.0% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 7.2% |
