Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
Dingler, Dillon
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team DET
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
85
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.342 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.376 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.363 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.338
0.350
0.363
0.377
0.389
wOBA
0.365
0.380
0.397
0.414
0.429
ISO
0.205
0.218
0.231
0.245
0.258
K%
19.2%
20.2%
21.4%
22.5%
23.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
86
+32 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
65
Hard-hit%46.7%
82
xBA0.377
91
xSLG0.686
92
xwOBA0.376
95
+24 vs proj
BB%6.0%
21
Bat speed70.5
62
K%20.5%
63
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.1 · C
99
Catcher Throwing0.1 · C
58
Framing Runs5.8 · C
99
Pop Time1.9 · C
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · C
51
Sprint Speed27.5 · C
53
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
43
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5% · rebadged research
46
Correct Decisions65.5% · rebadged research
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.366 · borderline
0
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291 · validated thin sample
22
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.358 · insufficient sample
10
Resists FastballwOBA 0.367 · validated
11
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.323 · validated
97
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
191 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.046 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.068 |
| Sample | 381 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 471 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.329 | 0.307 to 0.391 | +/- 0.042 |
| ISO | 0.150 | 0.115 to 0.216 | +/- 0.051 |
| Barrel% | 5.3% | 3.4% to 7.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.6% | 39.7% to 51.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 22.1% | 20.2% to 27.9% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 5.1% | 4.9% to 8.6% | +/- 1.8% |
| BABIP | 0.310 | 0.275 to 0.351 | +/- 0.038 |
vs LHP
161 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.260 |
| K% | 17.4% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |
vs RHP
466 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.240 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |