The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Butler, Lawrence in signal, the comp in amber.

ATH · bats L · 550 PA

Ranked comps for Butler, Lawrence

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 518 PA 0.80 Oppo ratePull rateBat speed Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -0.8zWhiff rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 691 PA 0.72 Barrel rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 717 PA 0.69 Isolated powerSwing lengthChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.1zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 721 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityBat speedMax exit velocity Swing length +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 623 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Strikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 455 PA 0.61 Bat speedIsolated powerStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.6zChase rate +1.4zBarrel rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.61 Fly-ball ratePull rateMax exit velocity xwOBA on contact -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.60 Hard-hit rateBat speedSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA 0.60 Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocityOppo rate Ground-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerBat speed Oppo rate -1.9zWalk rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA 0.59 Strikeout rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.