Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Young, Jared
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team NYM
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
80
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.364 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
xwOBA
0.234
0.262
0.293
0.324
0.352
wOBA
0.314
0.345
0.379
0.413
0.444
ISO
0.104
0.134
0.168
0.202
0.232
K%
17.0%
21.0%
25.4%
29.9%
33.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.9%
97
+49 vs proj
Exit velocity89.6
65
Hard-hit%46.0%
77
+40 vs proj
xBA0.340
67
xSLG0.636
83
xwOBA0.364
88
+53 vs proj
BB%7.6%
36
Bat speed71.8
77
K%22.8%
45
+29 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
70
Arm Runs0.9 · 1B
Small sample
Range Runs0.0 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · 1B
55
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.5% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.4% · rebadged research
90
Correct Decisions70.6% · rebadged research
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
31
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
31
Resists FastballwOBA 0.371 · validated
9
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
91
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
39 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.070 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.085 |
| Sample | 92 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 224 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.159 to 0.318 | +/- 0.079 |
| ISO | 0.167 | 0.070 to 0.247 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 1.2% to 6.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 19.5% to 42.2% | +/- 11.4% |
| K% | 29.4% | 14.7% to 38.0% | +/- 11.7% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 2.4% to 12.4% | +/- 5.0% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.152 to 0.330 | +/- 0.089 |
vs LHP
19 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.061 |
| K% | 7.6% |
| BB% | 1.9% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |
vs RHP
133 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.067 |
| K% | 7.7% |
| BB% | 2.2% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |