Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Young, Jared
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team NYM
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status IL-10
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
65
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.321 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.299 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.263
0.280
0.299
0.318
0.335
wOBA
0.313
0.328
0.345
0.362
0.377
ISO
0.121
0.138
0.158
0.177
0.195
K%
17.0%
19.3%
21.8%
24.3%
26.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
68
+16 vs proj
Exit velocity89.5
71
Hard-hit%46.5%
86
+43 vs proj
xBA0.314
46
xSLG0.503
52
xwOBA0.321
69
+30 vs proj
BB%7.0%
33
-19 vs proj
Bat speed71.1
73
K%18.9%
73
+54 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · 1B
96
Arm Strength84.6 · 1B
26
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
47
Range Runs-1.1 · 1B
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · 1B
37
Sprint Speed27.5 · 1B
50
SB Success Rate66.7% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.5% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
28
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
3
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
36
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
139 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.027 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.051 |
| Sample | 355 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 224 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.159 to 0.318 | +/- 0.079 |
| ISO | 0.167 | 0.070 to 0.247 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 1.2% to 6.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 19.5% to 42.2% | +/- 11.3% |
| K% | 29.3% | 14.7% to 38.0% | +/- 11.7% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 2.4% to 12.4% | +/- 5.0% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.152 to 0.330 | +/- 0.089 |
vs LHP
19 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.061 |
| K% | 7.6% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |
vs RHP
133 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.067 |
| K% | 7.7% |
| BB% | 2.2% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |