Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.300 vs 0.262 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026
Ramos, Heliot
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYY
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
89
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.332 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.329 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.330 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.308
0.318
0.330
0.341
0.352
wOBA
0.301
0.314
0.329
0.344
0.358
ISO
0.147
0.159
0.172
0.185
0.197
K%
23.5%
24.7%
26.0%
27.3%
28.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.6%
91
Exit velocity92.1
94
Hard-hit%48.8%
91
xBA0.366
92
xSLG0.638
88
xwOBA0.329
77
BB%6.8%
31
Bat speed71.2
73
K%27.3%
26
-34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · LF
29
Arm Strength92.6 · LF
43
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · LF
5
Range Runs-8.2 · LF
1
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · LF
57
SB Success Rate80.0% · LF
48
Sprint Speed27.2 · LF
44
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.2% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions66.2% · rebadged research
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
50
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
78
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
52
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
31
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
203 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| Sample | 455 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 612 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 23 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.332 | 0.310 to 0.375 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.179 | 0.132 to 0.253 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% | 7.5% | 5.4% to 10.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 47.2% | 42.8% to 55.6% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 21.2% | 17.8% to 28.4% | +/- 5.3% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 5.5% to 10.7% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.296 | 0.265 to 0.348 | +/- 0.041 |
vs LHP
392 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.300 |
| K% | 20.1% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 8.5% |
vs RHP
964 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.262 |
| K% | 19.6% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 5.4% |