The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bauers, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats L · 365 PA

Ranked comps for Bauers, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA 0.70 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate +1.2zOppo rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA 0.67 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.4zIsolated power -1.1zSwing length -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA 0.66 Strikeout rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact Isolated power -1.6zOppo rate -1.1zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.64 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactBat speed Isolated power -1.7zSwing length -1.0zMax exit velocity -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 435 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactIsolated power Walk rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA 0.63 Fly-ball rateBat speedSprint speed xwOBA on contact +1.7zWhiff rate +1.0zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA 0.63 Swing lengthBarrel rateGround-ball rate Oppo rate -1.4zBat speed -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 372 PA 0.61 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateOppo rate Walk rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.3zGround-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 363 PA 0.59 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Pull rate -1.4zSwing length -1.4zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA 0.56 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed Chase rate +2.1zOppo rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA 0.55 Bat speedStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Chase rate +2.0zOppo rate -1.6zWalk rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 431 PA 0.55 Chase rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.