The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bell, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 646 PA

Ranked comps for Bell, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Machado, Manny SD · R · 686 PA 0.75 Barrel rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.1zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.75 Fly-ball rateBat speedWhiff rate Swing length -1.1zxwOBA on contact -0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA 0.73 Barrel rateSprint speedHard-hit rate Swing length -1.2zWhiff rate +1.1zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 442 PA 0.71 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.0zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Contreras, William MIL · R · 653 PA 0.70 Sprint speedIsolated powerBarrel rate Swing length -1.6zPull rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA 0.70 Walk rateChase rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed +1.5zBarrel rate -1.3zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.70 Whiff rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.7zSwing length -1.4zMax exit velocity -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA 0.69 Max exit velocityChase rateHard-hit rate Whiff rate +1.1zSwing length -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 721 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateSprint speed Fly-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.68 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Swing length -1.8zSprint speed +1.1zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Marte, Ketel AZ · L · 631 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity +1.2zOppo rate -1.1zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.66 Pull rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact Strikeout rate +1.6zSwing length -1.6zWhiff rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.