The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Marte, Ketel in signal, the comp in amber.

AZ · bats L · 626 PA

Ranked comps for Marte, Ketel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 642 PA 0.66 Walk rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1z
02 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.63 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.0z
03 García Jr., Luis WSH · L · 565 PA 0.60 Whiff rateOppo rateIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z
04 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 538 PA 0.60 Walk rateFly-ball rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z
05 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.60 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed Max exit velocity -1.2zWalk rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z
06 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.59 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerChase rate Max exit velocity -1.8zStrikeout rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.1z
07 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA 0.55 Barrel rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact Oppo rate +1.7zPull rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3z
08 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 684 PA 0.54 Walk rateIsolated powerSwing length Max exit velocity -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.1z
09 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.54 Sprint speedIsolated powerSweet-spot rate Max exit velocity -2.0zPull rate -1.3zChase rate -1.0z
10 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 479 PA 0.51 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerPull rate Max exit velocity -2.0zFly-ball rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z
11 Contreras, William MIL · R · 649 PA 0.51 Sweet-spot rateWhiff rateBarrel rate Pull rate -2.4zOppo rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.5z
12 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA 0.47 Fly-ball ratePull rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +1.9zWhiff rate +1.9zxwOBA on contact +1.6z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.