The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Buxton, Byron in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats R · 418 PA
Ranked comps for Buxton, Byron
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 667 PA | 0.64 | Pull rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Barrel rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.0zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 733 PA | 0.61 | Chase rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 679 PA | 0.60 | Sprint speedPull rateHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.2zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA | 0.56 | In-zone contactHard-hit rateOppo rate | Max exit velocity +1.7zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA | 0.54 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityOppo rate | Sprint speed -2.5zBarrel rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 590 PA | 0.53 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate | Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.6zSwing length -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA | 0.53 | Whiff rateChase rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.5zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 593 PA | 0.51 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Swing length -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 678 PA | 0.50 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity | Isolated power -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.7zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 448 PA | 0.50 | Bat speedIn-zone contactGround-ball rate | Barrel rate -2.0zChase rate +1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA | 0.49 | Chase rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length -2.2zSprint speed -2.0zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 506 PA | 0.49 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBat speed | Chase rate -1.7zBarrel rate -1.5zIsolated power -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.