Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026

Lindor, Francisco

Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach

Primary
0.355 xwOBA
Range
0.301 to 0.404
Live Δ
yes
Team NYM Archetype Balanced regular Age 33 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
71
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
70
Defense4 metrics
62
Speed1 metrics
29
Plate skills10 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.350
xwOBA current pace0.342
xwOBA rolling p500.346
Observed weight46%
xwOBA
0.312 0.328 0.346 0.365 0.381
wOBA
0.295 0.316 0.339 0.362 0.383
ISO
0.132 0.151 0.172 0.192 0.211
K%
15.3% 16.6% 18.2% 19.7% 21.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
61 -16 vs proj
Exit velocity92.0
92
Hard-hit%49.6%
90 +18 vs proj
xBA0.314
41
xSLG0.541
61
xwOBA0.342
80
BB%8.9%
53
Bat speed71.0
72
K%16.2%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.0 · SS
99
Arm Strength83.5 · SS
28
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
68
Range Runs0.6 · SS
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · SS
29
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
67
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
35
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.305 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
32
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
57
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321 · validated
82
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lindor, Francisco · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.342 2026-07-05: 0.3442026-07-06: 0.3472026-07-07: 0.3482026-07-08: 0.3482026-07-09: 0.3482026-07-10: 0.3502026-07-11: 0.3502026-07-12: 0.3462026-07-13: 0.3422026-07-14: 0.3432026-07-15: 0.3432026-07-16: 0.342 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Francisco Lindor's tools (92) outpace production (85) by 7 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Passive In-Zone Approach
Pass Attack Pass Attack Attack Attack Pass Attack Pass

Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts

Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

102 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Lindor, Francisco · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsPull 8%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsOppo 22% LF 335 CF 408 RF 330 2026-03-15 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 17.02026-03-15 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA 0.02026-03-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 13.02026-03-17 · field error · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 34.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 37.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 4.02026-03-19 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 47.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -1.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -3.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -10.02026-03-21 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.8 / LA 2.02026-03-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -2.02026-03-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 6.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -4.02026-03-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 37.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 55.02026-03-26 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -42.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 39.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 49.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 19.02026-03-28 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 47.6 / LA 7.02026-03-29 · triple · FS · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 20.02026-03-29 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.0 / LA 13.02026-03-30 · triple · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 23.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA -7.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 38.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA -25.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA -11.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -41.02026-04-01 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.4 / LA -5.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -5.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · popup · EV 72.5 / LA 47.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 20.02026-04-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 84.5 / LA 24.02026-04-03 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 7.02026-04-03 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -15.02026-04-03 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 74.6 / LA 21.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -4.02026-04-04 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 36.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 65.4 / LA -14.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 8.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -33.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 23.02026-04-05 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -15.02026-04-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 3.02026-04-07 · double · KC · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 21.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · popup · EV 79.8 / LA 81.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · popup · EV 62.7 / LA 61.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.3 / LA -20.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 18.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 72.2 / LA 53.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 53.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 60.02026-04-09 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 77.3 / LA 19.02026-04-09 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -10.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -3.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -2.02026-04-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 13.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 36.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 38.02026-04-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 2.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 49.02026-04-12 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 84.4 / LA -19.02026-04-12 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 11.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 98.0 / LA 66.02026-04-12 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 13.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA 9.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.8 / LA -29.02026-04-13 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 1.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 30.02026-04-14 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 111.3 / LA 37.02026-04-14 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 19.02026-04-14 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -12.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 17.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.9 / LA -15.02026-04-17 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 105.2 / LA 20.02026-04-17 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA -22.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 50.02026-04-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 7.02026-04-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 2.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 49.02026-04-18 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 2.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 36.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 83.1 / LA 30.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 23.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 38.02026-04-21 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 28.02026-04-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA -16.02026-04-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 10.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 9.02026-06-24 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -12.02026-06-24 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 49.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 55.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 55.02026-06-26 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 8.02026-06-26 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 93.9 / LA 22.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -3.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 40.02026-06-30 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -9.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 53.02026-07-01 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 31.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -3.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Lindor, Francisco · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 72.8 mph Hard swing rate 26% Whiff / swing 24% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lindor, Francisco · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Age-33 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.013
wOBA Δ-0.017
Sample191 PA

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances658----
Home Runs27----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3550.301 to 0.404+/- 0.052
ISO0.1960.137 to 0.273+/- 0.068
Barrel%6.9%4.7% to 9.0%+/- 2.1%
Hard-Hit%44.0%41.6% to 51.6%+/- 5.0%
K%18.1%15.5% to 24.4%+/- 4.5%
BB%8.7%6.7% to 11.7%+/- 2.5%
BABIP0.2910.253 to 0.338+/- 0.043
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

2182 career PA

xwOBA0.305
K%14.4%
BB%7.0%
Barrel6.5%
vs RHP

5009 career PA

xwOBA0.315
K%17.5%
BB%8.2%
Barrel6.2%