The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Happ, Ian in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats L · 416 PA

Ranked comps for Happ, Ian

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 364 PA 0.70 Hard-hit rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate Walk rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA 0.67 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Walk rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 440 PA 0.66 Sprint speedIsolated powerFly-ball rate Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.0zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateChase ratePull rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zBat speed +1.2zSprint speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.64 Bat speedMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.3zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA 0.62 Swing lengthChase rateAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA 0.62 Bat speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Swing length +1.4zWalk rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.60 Sprint speedBat speedPull rate In-zone contact +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA 0.59 In-zone contactChase rateMax exit velocity Swing length +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.2zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA 0.59 Whiff rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Swing length +1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.2zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA 0.59 Isolated powerStrikeout rateWhiff rate Chase rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.8zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.57 Strikeout rateBat speedIn-zone contact Swing length +2.4zSprint speed -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.