The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Adames, Willy in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats R · 517 PA

Ranked comps for Adames, Willy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA 0.72 Bat speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Swing length -1.8zGround-ball rate +0.7zWhiff rate -0.7z
02 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 524 PA 0.72 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Max exit velocity +1.1zIsolated power -1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z
03 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 667 PA 0.71 Whiff rateBat speedPull rate Swing length -1.3zFly-ball rate -0.9zIsolated power +0.8z
04 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 506 PA 0.68 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate Walk rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.2zSwing length -1.0z
05 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA 0.64 Fly-ball rateBat speedStrikeout rate Max exit velocity +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z
06 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 628 PA 0.62 Pull rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Chase rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z
07 Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 448 PA 0.60 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Chase rate +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.3zSwing length -0.9z
08 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA 0.60 Bat speedPull rateOppo rate Walk rate +1.7zSwing length -1.5zSprint speed -1.4z
09 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 711 PA 0.59 Pull rateIsolated powerSprint speed Swing length -2.7zChase rate +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.8z
10 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 411 PA 0.58 Pull ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate Swing length -1.8zWhiff rate -1.1zWalk rate +0.9z
11 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 357 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityWalk rate Swing length -2.0zIn-zone contact -1.8zPull rate -1.7z
12 Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 578 PA 0.56 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateChase rate Strikeout rate -2.0zWhiff rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.