Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.303 vs 0.273 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Neto, Zach
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team LAA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.332 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.312 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.319 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.297
0.307
0.319
0.330
0.340
wOBA
0.325
0.339
0.354
0.370
0.384
ISO
0.182
0.193
0.206
0.218
0.230
K%
26.5%
27.7%
28.9%
30.2%
31.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.3%
81
Exit velocity89.1
62
Hard-hit%39.8%
53
-17 vs proj
xBA0.318
46
xSLG0.641
85
xwOBA0.312
56
-17 vs proj
BB%10.2%
69
+39 vs proj
Bat speed68.5
35
K%31.8%
9
-28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · SS
98
Arm Strength94.6 · SS
94
Outs Above Avg-8.0 · SS
2
Range Runs-5.9 · SS
5
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · SS
28
SB Success Rate68.8% · SS
24
Sprint Speed27.8 · SS
61
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.2% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.7% · rebadged research
73
Correct Decisions66.0% · rebadged research
48
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
57
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.247 · insufficient sample
99
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.352 · insufficient sample
13
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
29
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
12
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
172 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.019 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
| Sample | 440 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 541 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 21 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.331 | 0.316 to 0.374 | +/- 0.029 |
| ISO | 0.178 | 0.153 to 0.255 | +/- 0.051 |
| Barrel% | 7.0% | 4.9% to 9.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.7% | 38.2% to 51.8% | +/- 6.8% |
| K% | 24.8% | 19.5% to 28.4% | +/- 4.4% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 5.0% to 9.8% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.255 to 0.340 | +/- 0.043 |
vs LHP
301 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.303 |
| K% | 19.7% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |
vs RHP
1224 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.273 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |