The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jeffers, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats R · 384 PA

Ranked comps for Jeffers, Ryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.78 Swing lengthBat speedPull rate Sprint speed +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z
02 Contreras, William MIL · R · 649 PA 0.77 Swing lengthBat speedBarrel rate Pull rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.9zWalk rate -0.9z
03 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA 0.73 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zBarrel rate -1.0zWalk rate -0.9z
04 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.73 xwOBA on contactWalk rateMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +0.9zWhiff rate +0.8z
05 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 437 PA 0.71 Isolated powerChase rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.0zStrikeout rate +0.9z
06 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.71 Barrel rateWalk rateWhiff rate Max exit velocity -1.2zPull rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z
07 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.70 Strikeout ratePull rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +1.0zOppo rate -1.0zBarrel rate -0.9z
08 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.68 In-zone contactHard-hit rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2z
09 Machado, Manny SD · R · 681 PA 0.68 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Swing length +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.2zWhiff rate +1.2z
10 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 479 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactBat speedPull rate Sprint speed +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z
11 Moreno, Gabriel AZ · R · 559 PA 0.66 Sprint speedWalk rateIn-zone contact Oppo rate +2.0zMax exit velocity -0.9zPull rate -0.8z
12 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.65 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Oppo rate -1.6zChase rate -1.3zPull rate +0.9z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.