Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026
Langford, Wyatt
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team TEX
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.341 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.282 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.322 |
| Observed weight | 31% |
xwOBA
0.290
0.305
0.322
0.339
0.354
wOBA
0.303
0.332
0.364
0.397
0.426
ISO
0.135
0.153
0.174
0.195
0.213
K%
17.5%
19.2%
21.1%
23.0%
24.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.9%
28
-43 vs proj
Barrel%4.0%
34
-44 vs proj
Bat speed70.9
70
Exit velocity91.8
90
Hard-hit%44.6%
69
K%19.8%
63
+16 vs proj
xBA0.327
55
xSLG0.467
34
xwOBA0.282
25
-51 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength86.3 · LF
9
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Arm Runs1.1 · LF
Limited
Range Runs1.5 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · LF
17
Sprint Speed28.0 · LF
69
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research
59
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions67.1% · rebadged research
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
70
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
61
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
32
Resists FastballwOBA 0.295 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
49
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
74 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.060 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| Sample | 101 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 556 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 19 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.342 | 0.319 to 0.396 | +/- 0.039 |
| ISO | 0.178 | 0.147 to 0.253 | +/- 0.053 |
| Barrel% | 7.4% | 5.2% to 9.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.5% | 40.8% to 52.9% | +/- 6.1% |
| K% | 22.4% | 18.0% to 27.4% | +/- 4.7% |
| BB% | 10.7% | 9.0% to 14.8% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.298 | 0.254 to 0.341 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
292 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.295 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 12.4% |
| Barrel | 6.8% |
vs RHP
890 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.270 |
| K% | 18.8% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |