The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Reynolds, Bryan in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats L · 440 PA

Ranked comps for Reynolds, Bryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.75 Swing lengthPull rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate -0.9zGround-ball rate -0.9z
02 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA 0.68 Pull rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Swing length +1.1zWhiff rate -0.9zOppo rate -0.9z
03 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 244 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateWhiff rateWalk rate In-zone contact -1.6zSwing length +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2z
04 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 429 PA 0.62 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Pull rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.4zBat speed -1.0z
05 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate Chase rate +1.8zOppo rate -1.4zSwing length +0.9z
06 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.62 Barrel rateBat speedChase rate Ground-ball rate -2.2zWalk rate -1.5zHard-hit rate -0.9z
07 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA 0.60 In-zone contactIsolated powerMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zOppo rate -1.2z
08 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 403 PA 0.58 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate In-zone contact -1.9zWalk rate -1.6zChase rate +1.4z
09 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.56 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.9zFly-ball rate +1.4zBat speed +1.2z
10 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 288 PA 0.55 Swing lengthWhiff rateSweet-spot rate Isolated power -1.5zSprint speed -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z
11 DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 353 PA 0.55 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Whiff rate -1.8zWalk rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4z
12 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 222 PA 0.54 xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactOppo rate Walk rate -1.6zSwing length -1.5zSprint speed +1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.