Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 160 lb |
| Debut | 2026-05-12 |
Player profile / New York Mets
A. J. Ewing
CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 160 lb · Age 22
Club New York Mets
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 492 | 55 | 110 | 11 | 25 | .252 | .324 | .376 | .700 |
| 1 Seasons | 492 | 55 | 110 | 11 | 25 | .252 | .324 | .376 | .700 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
66
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.274 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.319 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 69% |
xwOBA
0.272
0.288
0.305
0.323
0.338
wOBA
0.299
0.312
0.327
0.341
0.354
ISO
0.097
0.111
0.126
0.141
0.155
K%
20.1%
22.4%
24.9%
27.4%
29.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
49
Exit velocity88.3
54
Hard-hit%42.2%
69
+31 vs proj
xBA0.358
87
xSLG0.559
69
xwOBA0.319
69
+26 vs proj
BB%9.2%
59
Bat speed67.4
25
K%25.3%
36
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · CF
76
Arm Strength96.5 · CF
70
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
25
Range Runs4.9 · CF
84
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.8 · CF
86
Bolts52.0 · CF
92
SB Success Rate85.7% · CF
67
Sprint Speed29.4 · CF
94
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.263 · borderline
91
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
83
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
62
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
27
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
173 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.031 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Ewing’s wOBA sits at 0.327, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.319 — a gap of 0.007, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 490 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benge, Carson NYM · L | 0.81 | Pull rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Turang, Brice MIL · L | 0.73 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R | 0.69 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Young, Jacob WSH · R | 0.64 | Chase ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-09-14 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 33 | 2026-09-25 | 7 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.224 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.296 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K |