Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 21 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 160 lb |
| Debut | 2026-05-12 |
Player profile / New York Mets
A. J. Ewing
CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 160 lb · Age 21
Club New York Mets
Position CF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 227 | 27 | 55 | 7 | 9 | .274 | .347 | .438 | .785 |
| 1 Seasons | 227 | 27 | 55 | 7 | 9 | .274 | .347 | .438 | .785 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.274 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.338 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.307 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
xwOBA
0.259
0.281
0.307
0.332
0.354
wOBA
0.313
0.332
0.353
0.375
0.394
ISO
0.101
0.122
0.145
0.168
0.189
K%
18.0%
21.4%
25.3%
29.1%
32.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
47
Exit velocity88.8
59
Hard-hit%43.4%
69
+34 vs proj
xBA0.379
92
xSLG0.606
79
xwOBA0.338
77
+38 vs proj
BB%9.7%
64
Bat speed67.4
23
K%26.0%
32
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · CF
32
Arm Strength96.3 · CF
75
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
22
Range Runs1.3 · CF
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · CF
32
Bolts24.0 · CF
84
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
20
Sprint Speed29.5 · CF
96
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.5% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions69.4% · rebadged research
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
65
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
69
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
36
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
63 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.043 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.058 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Ewing’s wOBA sits at 0.353, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.338 — a gap of 0.015, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 227 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benge, Carson NYM · L | 0.83 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Turang, Brice MIL · L | 0.80 | xwOBA on contactBat speed | Player · Projection |
| McLain, Matt CIN · R | 0.67 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R | 0.66 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-07-08 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.295 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K |