Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 22
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.342 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.259
0.282
0.308
0.333
0.356
wOBA
0.315
0.334
0.356
0.377
0.397
ISO
0.100
0.121
0.144
0.168
0.189
K%
17.7%
21.2%
25.1%
29.0%
32.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
48
Exit velocity88.8
59
Hard-hit%43.7%
70
+35 vs proj
xBA0.380
92
xSLG0.610
79
xwOBA0.342
79
+41 vs proj
BB%9.9%
67
+15 vs proj
Bat speed67.3
22
K%25.7%
33
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · CF
32
Arm Strength96.3 · CF
75
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
22
Range Runs1.1 · CF
62
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · CF
31
Bolts24.0 · CF
84
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
20
Sprint Speed29.5 · CF
96
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.5% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions69.4% · rebadged research
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
65
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
69
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
36
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
63 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.046 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.060 |
| Sample | 222 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.151 to 0.327 | +/- 0.088 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.046 to 0.212 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 0.2% to 6.2% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.1% | 14.0% to 42.3% | +/- 14.1% |
| K% | 27.0% | 9.0% to 37.6% | +/- 14.3% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 1.0% to 9.9% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.287 | 0.182 to 0.352 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |