Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 22
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.325 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.286 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.218
0.250
0.286
0.323
0.355
wOBA
0.246
0.279
0.315
0.352
0.384
ISO
0.050
0.080
0.113
0.146
0.176
K%
15.7%
20.8%
26.5%
32.3%
37.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.2%
82
+36 vs proj
Barrel%4.1%
36
Bat speed66.7
19
Exit velocity85.7
19
Hard-hit%46.3%
77
+44 vs proj
K%32.4%
6
-20 vs proj
xBA0.394
95
xSLG0.626
80
xwOBA0.325
64
+27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
45
Arm Runs0.3 · CF
Limited
Range Runs0.5 · CF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts5.0 · CF
56
SB Success Rate50.0% · CF
5
Sprint Speed28.9 · CF
91
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.3% · rebadged research
92
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
80
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
40
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
27
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
35
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
34 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.020 |
| Sample | 74 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.149 to 0.327 | +/- 0.089 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.046 to 0.212 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 0.2% to 6.2% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.1% | 14.0% to 42.3% | +/- 14.1% |
| K% | 27.0% | 8.9% to 37.6% | +/- 14.4% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 1.0% to 9.9% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.287 | 0.179 to 0.352 | +/- 0.086 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |