The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Castro, Willi in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 498 PA

Ranked comps for Castro, Willi

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.74 Sprint speedBarrel rateHard-hit rate Chase rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.2zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 631 PA 0.74 Strikeout rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.2zSprint speed +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 629 PA 0.70 Oppo rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Avg exit velocity +1.2zBarrel rate +1.0zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 524 PA 0.69 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateOppo rate Swing length +1.9zGround-ball rate -0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA 0.68 Pull rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.4zWhiff rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 445 PA 0.68 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactWhiff rate Pull rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.0zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 667 PA 0.67 Bat speedHard-hit ratePull rate Isolated power +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.67 Sweet-spot rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Sprint speed -1.7zChase rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.66 Pull rateBarrel rateSprint speed Chase rate -1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.7zPull rate -1.0zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA 0.65 Isolated powerFly-ball rateSprint speed Avg exit velocity +1.6zPull rate -1.2zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 473 PA 0.64 Bat speedPull rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.