The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crews, Dylan in signal, the comp in amber.
WSH · bats R · 445 PA
Ranked comps for Crews, Dylan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA | 0.78 | Chase rateMax exit velocitySwing length | Strikeout rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1zOppo rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 631 PA | 0.78 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSwing length | Pull rate +1.3zGround-ball rate +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA | 0.76 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactIsolated power | Swing length -1.4zSprint speed -1.3zBat speed -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 505 PA | 0.75 | Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocityPull rate | Oppo rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -0.9zxwOBA on contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 664 PA | 0.74 | Barrel rateWalk rateIsolated power | Chase rate +1.0zBat speed +1.0zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 524 PA | 0.73 | Max exit velocityOppo rateIsolated power | Pull rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.2zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA | 0.72 | Avg exit velocityBat speedHard-hit rate | Barrel rate -1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA | 0.71 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed -1.9zWalk rate +1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Smith, Cam HOU · R · 572 PA | 0.70 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactWalk rate | Oppo rate +1.4zBat speed +1.3zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 666 PA | 0.68 | Barrel rateIsolated powerOppo rate | Swing length -1.4zWhiff rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.68 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Pull rate +1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 473 PA | 0.68 | Sprint speedOppo rateStrikeout rate | Pull rate +1.7zChase rate +1.1zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.