Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Rodríguez, Julio
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SEA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status IL-10
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
78
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.347 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.350 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.349 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.324
0.336
0.349
0.362
0.374
wOBA
0.319
0.334
0.350
0.366
0.381
ISO
0.148
0.161
0.176
0.191
0.204
K%
19.1%
20.3%
21.6%
22.9%
24.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
71
Exit velocity90.3
78
Hard-hit%44.5%
74
xBA0.356
82
xSLG0.616
80
xwOBA0.350
85
BB%7.7%
38
Bat speed74.8
97
K%20.9%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · CF
70
Arm Strength98.5 · CF
89
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
22
Range Runs-1.0 · CF
37
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · CF
68
Bolts18.0 · CF
78
SB Success Rate78.6% · CF
41
Sprint Speed28.9 · CF
89
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.1% · rebadged research
18
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions62.8% · rebadged research
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · borderline
23
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
85
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.322 · validated thin sample
2
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.307 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346 · validated
36
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
65
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
209 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| Sample | 392 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 655 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 27 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.352 | 0.312 to 0.400 | +/- 0.044 |
| ISO | 0.169 | 0.135 to 0.263 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 6.7% | 4.9% to 9.6% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 49.1% | 45.2% to 56.7% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 22.8% | 19.1% to 28.9% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 4.9% to 10.2% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.319 | 0.278 to 0.372 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
692 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.302 |
| K% | 21.4% |
| BB% | 6.8% |
| Barrel | 6.8% |
vs RHP
2116 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.307 |
| K% | 20.4% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |