The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cowser, Colton in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats L · 253 PA

Ranked comps for Cowser, Colton

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Matthews, Brice HOU · R · 241 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact Fly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 409 PA 0.59 Sprint speedPull rateIsolated power Avg exit velocity +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 394 PA 0.59 Swing lengthWhiff rateBarrel rate Avg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Castro, Willi COL · L · 345 PA 0.58 Bat speedIsolated powerOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.7zChase rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 408 PA 0.57 Whiff rateOppo rateIsolated power Fly-ball rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 378 PA 0.55 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateSprint speed Avg exit velocity +1.5zPull rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 302 PA 0.54 Isolated powerBat speedSwing length Fly-ball rate -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.9zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 283 PA 0.54 Sprint speedBat speedWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zSwing length +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 420 PA 0.54 Strikeout rateSprint speedOppo rate Isolated power +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA 0.54 Walk rateHard-hit ratePull rate Strikeout rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.4zBat speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 383 PA 0.53 In-zone contactChase rateGround-ball rate Pull rate +2.5zAvg exit velocity +1.4zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 233 PA 0.52 Chase rateBat speedWalk rate Sprint speed -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.5zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.