The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McMahon, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 245 PA

Ranked comps for McMahon, Ryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA 0.75 Strikeout rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 244 PA 0.75 Walk rateIsolated powerWhiff rate Oppo rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.74 Walk rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Sprint speed +1.1zChase rate +1.0zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Vientos, Mark NYM · R · 269 PA 0.74 Barrel rateBat speedGround-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.3zChase rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA 0.73 Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate In-zone contact -1.3zIsolated power +1.2zStrikeout rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.71 Pull rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact Walk rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.1zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.71 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactWhiff rate Sprint speed +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.70 Whiff rateGround-ball ratePull rate Walk rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 364 PA 0.68 Bat speedAvg exit velocityOppo rate Sprint speed +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA 0.67 Sprint speedChase rateOppo rate Strikeout rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.3zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA 0.67 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.5zChase rate +1.4zSwing length -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Walk rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.