Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Ballesteros, Moisés
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.287 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.290 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.289 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.264
0.276
0.289
0.302
0.314
wOBA
0.278
0.293
0.309
0.325
0.340
ISO
0.126
0.140
0.154
0.169
0.182
K%
18.4%
20.0%
21.8%
23.6%
25.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.5%
76
+23 vs proj
Exit velocity90.1
80
Hard-hit%46.2%
85
+45 vs proj
xBA0.305
34
xSLG0.492
48
xwOBA0.290
35
-31 vs proj
BB%8.7%
54
Bat speed69.7
51
K%23.2%
49
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.7 · C
30
Catcher Throwing0.1 · C
58
Framing Runs-1.8 · C
28
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
68
Pop Time1.9 · C
46
Range Runs0.1 · C
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.1 · DH
6
SB Success Rate50.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.2% · rebadged research
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.9% · rebadged research
90
Correct Decisions63.5% · rebadged research
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
75
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
69
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · insufficient sample
9
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
84
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
197 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| Sample | 367 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 236 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.316 | 0.227 to 0.314 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.176 | 0.107 to 0.234 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 5.0% | 1.3% to 6.2% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.2% | 22.7% to 40.8% | +/- 9.1% |
| K% | 20.5% | 10.2% to 25.7% | +/- 7.8% |
| BB% | 9.6% | 4.0% to 11.6% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.239 to 0.322 | +/- 0.042 |
vs LHP
7 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.072 |
| K% | 4.8% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 0.9% |
vs RHP
69 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.079 |
| K% | 4.1% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |