The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wells, Austin in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 231 PA

Ranked comps for Wells, Austin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 332 PA 0.76 Whiff rateChase rateMax exit velocity Isolated power +0.9zBat speed -0.9zOppo rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Gorman, Nolan STL · L · 242 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthChase rate In-zone contact -1.4zWhiff rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 275 PA 0.63 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Sprint speed +1.4zSwing length -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate Sprint speed +2.0zChase rate +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA 0.63 Barrel rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.62 Oppo rateSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed +1.5zBarrel rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA 0.62 Whiff rateMax exit velocityPull rate Sprint speed +2.0zIsolated power +1.7zSweet-spot rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateIsolated powerChase rate Fly-ball rate -1.5zPull rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 279 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Hard-hit rate -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA 0.59 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityPull rate Isolated power +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.1zBarrel rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.59 Whiff rateGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.6zOppo rate +1.5zPull rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA 0.59 Barrel rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact In-zone contact +1.4zWhiff rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.