The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pederson, Joc in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 449 PA

Ranked comps for Pederson, Joc

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 641 PA 0.84 Hard-hit rateChase rateWalk rate In-zone contact -0.9zSprint speed +0.8zPull rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 710 PA 0.74 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateIsolated power Barrel rate +1.1zWhiff rate -1.0zBat speed +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA 0.65 Bat speedIn-zone contactWhiff rate Swing length +1.2zSprint speed +1.1zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 415 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateSweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.1zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 445 PA 0.63 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Swing length -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.62 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power -1.3zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA 0.62 In-zone contactMax exit velocityBat speed Sprint speed +1.5zPull rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.61 Swing lengthSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate Hard-hit rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Machado, Manny SD · R · 681 PA 0.61 Chase rateWalk rateGround-ball rate Isolated power -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 517 PA 0.59 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate Swing length -1.5zPull rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 428 PA 0.58 Oppo rateIn-zone contactChase rate Isolated power -1.7zMax exit velocity +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.58 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +2.0zSprint speed +1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.