Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Kazuma Okamoto

3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 220 lb · Age 30

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position 3B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20263825081220.239.319.469.788
1 Seasons3825081220.239.319.469.788
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
82
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
71
Defense3 metrics
37
Speed2 metrics
15
Plate skills10 metrics
62
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.6%
88
Exit velocity91.3
88
Hard-hit%47.2%
84
xBA0.339
68
xSLG0.693
93
xwOBA0.330
72
BB%9.9%
67
Bat speed70.9
69
K%30.4%
15
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.4 · 3B
18
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
43
Range Runs0.2 · 3B
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.8 · 3B
7
Sprint Speed26.3 · 3B
24
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.5% · rebadged research
74
Correct Decisions70.3% · rebadged research
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.262 · insufficient sample
93
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290 · validated thin sample
24
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
87
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376 · validated
6
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
72
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Okamoto, Kazuma · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.330 2026-07-05: 0.3342026-07-06: 0.3322026-07-07: 0.3292026-07-08: 0.3312026-07-09: 0.3292026-07-10: 0.3292026-07-11: 0.3292026-07-12: 0.3292026-07-13: 0.3262026-07-14: 0.3302026-07-15: 0.3302026-07-16: 0.330 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

158 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Okamoto, Kazuma · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsPull 20%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsOppo 10% LF 328 CF 400 RF 328 2026-03-19 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 19.02026-03-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -1.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 86.4 / LA 78.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.7 / LA 8.02026-03-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.4 / LA 20.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 75.2 / LA 64.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.4 / LA -39.02026-03-22 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 110.5 / LA 6.02026-03-27 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 15.02026-03-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 5.02026-03-28 · field out · CU · popup · EV 85.3 / LA 65.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · popup · EV 56.2 / LA 38.02026-03-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA -12.02026-03-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 48.02026-03-29 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.4 / LA 25.02026-03-29 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -36.02026-03-30 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 36.02026-03-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 12.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 14.02026-04-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 14.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 7.02026-04-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 14.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.7 / LA -1.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 6.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 42.02026-04-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 9.02026-04-06 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 71.1 / LA -17.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 6.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.8 / LA 56.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 28.02026-04-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 21.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · popup · EV 41.7 / LA 60.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · popup · EV 86.8 / LA 77.02026-04-08 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 55.7 / LA -18.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 88.3 / LA 25.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.4 / LA 64.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.0 / LA 64.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 9.02026-04-12 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 69.5 / LA -10.02026-04-12 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA -5.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 53.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 69.0 / LA 16.02026-04-14 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.7 / LA 5.02026-04-14 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA -7.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -14.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 0.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -9.02026-04-16 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 30.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA -23.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 9.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 95.3 / LA 62.02026-04-17 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 0.02026-04-18 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 68.1 / LA 9.02026-04-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 3.02026-04-19 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 22.02026-04-19 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 23.02026-04-20 · fielders choice · CU · ground_ball · EV 71.1 / LA -6.02026-04-20 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA 7.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -1.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 8.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 43.02026-04-22 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -18.02026-04-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 3.02026-04-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.9 / LA 31.02026-04-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 112.6 / LA 18.02026-04-25 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 30.02026-04-25 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 10.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA -34.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 53.02026-04-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 61.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 4.02026-04-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 27.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 100.3 / LA 69.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 19.02026-04-28 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA -16.02026-04-29 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 11.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 56.02026-04-30 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -11.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 58.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 39.02026-05-01 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 29.02026-05-01 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 110.2 / LA 22.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 33.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -9.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 31.02026-05-02 · field out · CU · popup · EV 83.9 / LA 59.02026-05-02 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 111.7 / LA 33.02026-05-02 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 2.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.3 / LA -33.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 31.02026-05-03 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 109.0 / LA 36.02026-05-04 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 12.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 60.02026-05-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 23.02026-05-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -2.02026-05-06 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 112.2 / LA 8.02026-05-06 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 80.1 / LA 51.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.8 / LA -1.02026-05-08 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA -5.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 17.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.8 / LA 6.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.7 / LA 40.02026-05-09 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 74.5 / LA 25.02026-05-09 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 47.9 / LA 20.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 47.02026-05-10 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 11.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 42.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 41.02026-05-11 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 87.9 / LA 20.02026-05-12 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -36.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 19.02026-05-13 · sac fly · CH · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 20.02026-05-13 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 3.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 41.02026-05-15 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 14.02026-05-15 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 0.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 46.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 18.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA -23.02026-05-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 2.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 94.0 / LA 60.02026-05-19 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 77.6 / LA -18.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA -2.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 72.1 / LA 45.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 23.02026-05-21 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -12.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -11.02026-05-24 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 29.02026-05-24 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 59.02026-05-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 111.2 / LA 7.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · popup · EV 78.5 / LA 73.02026-05-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.4 / LA -73.02026-05-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA -6.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 48.02026-05-27 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 30.02026-06-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 2.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 27.02026-06-04 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 62.3 / LA -40.02026-06-05 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 83.6 / LA 17.02026-06-05 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 3.02026-06-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA -16.02026-06-07 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -9.02026-06-07 · field out · SL · popup · EV 70.5 / LA 75.02026-06-07 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 13.02026-06-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 93.1 / LA -14.02026-06-18 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 18.02026-06-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 37.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 42.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 43.02026-06-22 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 18.02026-06-22 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 23.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 53.9 / LA -27.02026-06-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -12.02026-06-26 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 35.02026-06-26 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 8.02026-07-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 27.1 / LA -13.02026-07-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 20.02026-07-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -13.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Okamoto, Kazuma · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 31%31%Zone contact: 79%79%Contact: 69%69%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Okamoto, Kazuma · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.2 mph Hard swing rate 32% Whiff / swing 30% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 1"
Weight220 lb
Debut2026-03-27
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.361
xwOBA (deserved)0.330

Okamoto’s wOBA sits at 0.361, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.330 — a gap of 0.031, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 395 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Soler, Jorge LAA · R 0.77 Pull rateMax exit velocity Player · Projection
Devers, Rafael SF · L 0.74 Isolated powerGround-ball rate Player · Projection
Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R 0.73 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rate Player · Projection
Montgomery, Colson CWS · L 0.72 xwOBA on contactIsolated power Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-07-12Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 3 K
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K
2026-04-17 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K
2026-04-14 @ MIL0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-4 | K, RBI, R