Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026

Seager, Corey

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.374 xwOBA
Range
0.315 to 0.416
Live Δ
yes
Team TEX Archetype Impact slugger Age 32 Status IL-10
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.375
xwOBA current pace0.330
xwOBA rolling p500.354
Observed weight47%
xwOBA
0.320 0.336 0.354 0.371 0.387
wOBA
0.276 0.296 0.318 0.340 0.360
ISO
0.152 0.171 0.191 0.212 0.231
K%
20.4% 21.8% 23.4% 24.9% 26.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.1%
81
Barrel%10.1%
94
Bat speed70.2
58
Exit velocity91.7
89
Hard-hit%48.3%
86
K%27.6%
23 -49 vs proj
xBA0.329
57
xSLG0.650
84
xwOBA0.330
68 -22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.4 · SS
48
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
15
Range Runs-1.2 · SS
30
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · SS
6
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.7% · rebadged research
98
Correct Decisions71.6% · rebadged research
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.247 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
27
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.360 · insufficient sample
8
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
92
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Seager, Corey · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3312026-05-19: 0.3312026-05-21: 0.3312026-05-23: 0.3312026-05-24: 0.3312026-05-25: 0.3312026-05-26: 0.3312026-05-28: 0.3312026-05-29: 0.3302026-05-30: 0.3302026-05-31: 0.3302026-06-01: 0.330 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

118 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Seager, Corey · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 96.3 / LA 73.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 37.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 20.02026-03-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -7.02026-03-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 15.02026-03-20 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 109.6 / LA 20.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 66.02026-03-23 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 109.9 / LA 16.02026-03-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -6.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 45.02026-03-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -17.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 110.3 / LA 16.02026-03-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -22.02026-03-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 72.5 / LA 18.02026-03-28 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 33.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -3.02026-03-29 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 36.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 9.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.8 / LA -49.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA -3.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 94.1 / LA 73.02026-03-31 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 28.02026-03-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.5 / LA 16.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 1.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.8 / LA 79.02026-04-01 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 29.02026-04-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -20.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 10.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.0 / LA -9.02026-04-04 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 2.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 46.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 3.02026-04-04 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 24.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 63.0 / LA 67.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 29.02026-04-06 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 7.02026-04-06 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -20.02026-04-06 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 89.1 / LA 19.02026-04-07 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 79.4 / LA -28.02026-04-08 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 39.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 42.02026-04-10 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 57.02026-04-10 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.8 / LA 27.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 20.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -9.02026-04-12 · field out · FO · fly_ball · EV 75.2 / LA 30.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 45.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 31.02026-04-13 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 68.6 / LA 3.02026-04-13 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 33.02026-04-13 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 20.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 46.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 47.2 / LA -57.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 66.6 / LA 52.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 41.0 / LA -61.02026-04-15 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 29.02026-04-17 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 109.4 / LA 21.02026-04-17 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 19.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 18.02026-04-17 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -3.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -4.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.0 / LA 80.02026-04-18 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -4.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.5 / LA 75.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.0 / LA -17.02026-04-21 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 79.5 / LA 18.02026-04-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -34.02026-04-22 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 11.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 25.02026-04-23 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 36.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA -30.02026-04-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 13.02026-04-24 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 9.02026-04-24 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 17.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.4 / LA -21.02026-04-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 5.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 35.02026-04-25 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 76.8 / LA 26.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.2 / LA -17.02026-04-25 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 79.7 / LA 12.02026-04-26 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 108.4 / LA 9.02026-04-26 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -2.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -33.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.5 / LA -40.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA 8.02026-04-28 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -4.02026-04-28 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 109.3 / LA 15.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 39.02026-04-29 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA -5.02026-05-01 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 25.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.7 / LA -33.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 20.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 44.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 19.02026-05-02 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 0.02026-05-03 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -41.02026-05-03 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 0.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 33.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 54.3 / LA 8.02026-05-06 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 42.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -10.02026-05-06 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -7.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 36.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 18.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.0 / LA -1.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -22.02026-05-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 4.02026-05-09 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -14.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 26.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 31.02026-05-11 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -4.02026-05-11 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 50.02026-05-11 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 6.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 56.02026-05-12 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.4 / LA -30.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 33.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 89.9 / LA 26.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 77.4 / LA 49.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Seager, Corey · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 33.3° Length 6.7 ft Ideal path 54% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Seager, Corey · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 15.7° Direction +0.1° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Seager, Corey · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 72.0 mph Hard swing rate 14% Whiff / swing 32% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Seager, Corey · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 42%42%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 32%32%Zone contact: 79%79%Contact: 68%68%Hard hit: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.344 vs 0.283 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
3
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
4
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.044
wOBA Δ-0.056
Sample199 PA

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances484----
Home Runs25----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3740.315 to 0.416+/- 0.051
ISO0.2060.147 to 0.285+/- 0.069
Barrel%9.1%6.9% to 11.7%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%49.6%42.3% to 57.0%+/- 7.3%
K%18.3%15.0% to 23.6%+/- 4.3%
BB%10.7%8.7% to 13.9%+/- 2.6%
BABIP0.3050.264 to 0.337+/- 0.037
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1713 career PA

xwOBA0.283
K%18.6%
BB%5.6%
Barrel7.7%
vs RHP

3659 career PA

xwOBA0.344
K%13.1%
BB%11.0%
Barrel8.9%