The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Olson, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.

ATL · bats L · 435 PA

Ranked comps for Olson, Matt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA 0.69 Walk rateOppo rateSwing length In-zone contact -1.8zWhiff rate +1.0zBat speed -0.9z
02 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA 0.68 Chase rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Isolated power -1.5zWalk rate +1.3zBarrel rate -0.8z
03 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA 0.67 Bat speedChase rateSprint speed Max exit velocity +1.0zIsolated power -1.0zWhiff rate +1.0z
04 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.65 Pull rateStrikeout rateOppo rate Whiff rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2zBat speed -1.2z
05 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactIsolated power Walk rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z
06 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.61 Oppo rateGround-ball ratePull rate Isolated power -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z
07 Machado, Manny SD · R · 401 PA 0.60 Sweet-spot ratePull rateBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2zBarrel rate -1.1z
08 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA 0.58 In-zone contactOppo rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed +1.8zMax exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1z
09 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA 0.58 Isolated powerBat speedxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3z
10 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA 0.58 In-zone contactSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate xwOBA on contact -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.3z
11 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.57 xwOBA on contactChase rateWalk rate Whiff rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.3zPull rate +1.2z
12 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 415 PA 0.56 Swing lengthMax exit velocityWhiff rate Isolated power -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4zPull rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.