Olson, Matt
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.352 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.358 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.356 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Field-coordinate spray profile
209 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.037 |
| Sample | 435 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 645 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 31 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.362 | 0.298 to 0.407 | +/- 0.054 |
| ISO | 0.220 | 0.146 to 0.304 | +/- 0.079 |
| Barrel% | 8.2% | 5.6% to 10.4% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 50.8% | 43.3% to 58.7% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 23.5% | 19.6% to 29.4% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 11.7% | 9.3% to 14.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.311 | 0.260 to 0.351 | +/- 0.045 |
1614 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 23.1% |
| BB% | 6.8% |
| Barrel | 6.1% |
3818 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.323 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 12.2% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |