The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Seager, Corey in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats L · 236 PA
Ranked comps for Seager, Corey
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA | 0.72 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Swing length +1.7zPull rate -1.3zBarrel rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 310 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rateSwing length | Walk rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA | 0.64 | Bat speedWalk rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +1.5zWhiff rate -1.2zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 244 PA | 0.62 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateStrikeout rate | Walk rate -1.7zSwing length +1.4zBat speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA | 0.60 | Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -1.7zSwing length +1.3zPull rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout ratePull rateWhiff rate | Ground-ball rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 332 PA | 0.60 | Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Swing length +1.6zBarrel rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.58 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate | Bat speed +1.4zSwing length +1.3zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 416 PA | 0.56 | xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactOppo rate | Sprint speed +2.1zFly-ball rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA | 0.55 | Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateBat speed | Swing length +1.9zPull rate -1.8zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 317 PA | 0.55 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSprint speed | Swing length +2.0zChase rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.54 | Hard-hit rateWhiff ratePull rate | Swing length +2.9zSprint speed +1.0zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.